← Phantom Monarch Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Phantom Monarch Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1338
· median 1338
· range 1338–1338
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1101
Q1 1181
Q3 1288
1383
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Byakko | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
